Goch Ya
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (13 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 36
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1075 | 31% | 2022-04-29 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1186 | 1224 | 45% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1026 | 50% | 2013-02-08 | Won |
| 1110 | 1014 | 63% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1128 | 946 | 74% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1066 | 1120 | 42% | 2009-08-29 | Won |
| 1083 | 1228 | 30% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1056 | 48% | 2005-03-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1166 | 49% | 2004-01-11 | Won |
| 1005 | 1141 | 31% | 2003-10-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1026 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1065.8 vs 1091.8 has a 46.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).