First Threat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (12 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (British): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-12-04 | Lost |
950 | 1284 | 13% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
1095 | 1133 | 45% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-05-22 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
1012 | 954 | 58% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
997 | 1078 | 39% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
1087 | 884 | 76% | 2015-05-05 | Won |
1087 | 999 | 62% | 2014-04-18 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
1019 | 994 | 54% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
1225 | 1097 | 68% | 2003-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1057.9 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).