First Threat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2022-12-04 | Lost |
1060 | 906 | 71% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
950 | 1283 | 13% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
1074 | 1133 | 42% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-05-22 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
992 | 986 | 51% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
997 | 1018 | 47% | 2015-05-16 | Won |
1138 | 884 | 81% | 2015-05-05 | Won |
1138 | 998 | 69% | 2014-04-18 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
1225 | 1097 | 68% | 2003-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1043.4 has a 53.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).