The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 765 | 1181 | 8% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1072 | 42% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1087 | 40% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 964 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1284 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1046 | 60% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1138 | 51% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1067.1 has a 49.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).