The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 977 | 60% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 968 | 60% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1231 | 969 | 82% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1113 | 56% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1127 | 49% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1035.1 has a 53.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).