The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
994 | 1054 | 41% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
998 | 1138 | 31% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
1148 | 1075 | 60% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.8 vs 1061.8 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).