China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 855 | 1000 | 30% | 2026-05-21 | Won |
| 924 | 868 | 58% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1233 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 855 | 78% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1071 | 855 | 78% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 855 | 1071 | 22% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 855 | 1071 | 22% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1156 | 1057 | 64% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 943 | 1046 | 36% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1097 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 984.5 has a 55.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).