China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
1078 | 960 | 66% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
1228 | 869 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
1068 | 882 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
1068 | 882 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
882 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
882 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
943 | 1097 | 29% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
990 | 1057 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1006.4 vs 982.4 has a 53.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).