Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (27 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 995 | 61% | 2023-12-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 692 | 88% | 2023-03-13 | | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-04-21 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2020-08-23 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2019-12-18 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1000 | 31% | 2019-01-12 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-06-07 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 966 | 55% | 2017-09-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2017-09-01 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1057 | 43% | 2015-11-01 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1001 | 58% | 2014-09-05 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1001 | 58% | 2014-02-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2013-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2010-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-03-19 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2004-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2002-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2002-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1997-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1997-06-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1033.8 has a 46.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).