Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (British): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
1204 | 1137 | 60% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
986 | 1152 | 28% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
1022 | 1058 | 45% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
985 | 1003 | 47% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
1220 | 1078 | 69% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
1075 | 977 | 64% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1042.2 has a 53.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).