Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1028 | 55% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 987 | 1033 | 43% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1223 | 1068 | 71% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 612 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1076.8 has a 44.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).