The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
964 | 1013 | 43% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
1008 | 875 | 68% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1191 | 968 | 78% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
1093 | 1040 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
1123 | 983 | 69% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
1047 | 697 | 88% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
1055 | 1039 | 52% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
1112 | 1107 | 51% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
1151 | 1135 | 52% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
1025 | 911 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
1024 | 1068 | 44% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
1092 | 1087 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 995.6 has a 59.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).