Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 364 (52 on the archive and 312 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 189
Defender wins (Russian): 175
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
917 | 879 | 55% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-02-25 | Won |
984 | 1042 | 42% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
1156 | 1191 | 45% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
986 | 898 | 62% | 2022-05-27 | Won |
898 | 986 | 38% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
984 | 1011 | 46% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
925 | 1013 | 38% | 2019-08-18 | Lost |
1055 | 1180 | 33% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
1026 | 1013 | 52% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2018-06-05 | Won |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
1063 | 1011 | 57% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-07-17 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
915 | 1055 | 31% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
895 | 906 | 48% | 2016-07-14 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-06-14 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
1162 | 1067 | 63% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1058 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-06-08 | Won |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1000 | 958 | 56% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
948 | 1029 | 39% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2012-11-06 | Lost |
1079 | 1228 | 30% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-04-15 | Lost |
1227 | 1003 | 78% | 2007-08-27 | Won |
984 | 925 | 58% | 2005-10-12 | Won |
916 | 992 | 39% | 2005-03-31 | Won |
1096 | 1088 | 51% | 2005-03-22 | Lost |
1101 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Lost |
1096 | 1035 | 59% | 2002-08-03 | Won |
992 | 1002 | 49% | 1998-04-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1997-10-30 | Won |
1142 | 981 | 72% | 1996-04-18 | Won |
952 | 1045 | 37% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1028.5 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).