One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 936 | 53% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1051 | 1113 | 41% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
1228 | 1276 | 43% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
1023 | 998 | 54% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
1055 | 702 | 88% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
1097 | 916 | 74% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
1307 | 976 | 87% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
1006 | 1096 | 37% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
1072 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
1069 | 892 | 73% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1009.4 has a 56.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).