One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
1118 | 1000 | 66% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-11-18 | Lost |
971 | 781 | 75% | 2013-09-14 | Won |
1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
1118 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
1038 | 973 | 59% | 2006-09-24 | Won |
1078 | 1044 | 55% | 2005-07-14 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Won |
995 | 1007 | 48% | 2003-01-12 | Lost |
1072 | 1002 | 60% | 2002-05-08 | Lost |
997 | 892 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1027.7 vs 986.5 has a 55.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).