The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
784 | 1159 | 10% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1178 | 947 | 79% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1178 | 1163 | 52% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
842 | 1078 | 20% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1081 | 965 | 66% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
1114 | 963 | 70% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
1031 | 1040 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
1103 | 1148 | 44% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
1001 | 961 | 56% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
990 | 995 | 49% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1029.4 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).