Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 188 (28 on the archive and 160 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 83
Defender wins (Russian): 105
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 1055 | 35% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
1031 | 992 | 56% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
1158 | 932 | 79% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
1005 | 1163 | 29% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
1067 | 1029 | 55% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
1107 | 1110 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
1152 | 987 | 72% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
964 | 1013 | 43% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1110 | 1107 | 50% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
963 | 979 | 48% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
1093 | 1040 | 58% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
962 | 1110 | 30% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
1171 | 1224 | 42% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
951 | 969 | 47% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
1133 | 1049 | 62% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
1307 | 1110 | 76% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
1067 | 994 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
1183 | 1137 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
945 | 946 | 50% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
969 | 1055 | 38% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
1123 | 1080 | 56% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
1307 | 993 | 86% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
873 | 1000 | 32% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
1068 | 1215 | 30% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1058.9 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).