Commando Schenke
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (Russian): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1010 | 42% | 2025-03-17 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1203 | 52% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1115 | 75% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 927 | 973 | 43% | 2025-01-25 | Tied |
| 1178 | 1158 | 53% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2024-10-26 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2024-09-25 | Won |
| 979 | 1033 | 42% | 2024-06-28 | Lost |
| 979 | 1033 | 42% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1050 | 972 | 61% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 959 | 1037 | 39% | 2023-06-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1079 | 57% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 1091 | 30% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 907 | 864 | 56% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 1302 | 1290 | 52% | 2023-05-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 947 | 62% | 2023-03-07 | Lost |
| 971 | 1164 | 25% | 2023-02-16 | Won |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1096 | 40% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 998 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1158 | 46% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 987 | 1010 | 47% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1174 | 44% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 969 | 845 | 67% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 873 | 76% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
| 927 | 1016 | 37% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1203 | 24% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1013 | 1310 | 15% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 937 | 1050 | 34% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1133 | 964 | 73% | 2021-08-22 | Won |
| 1004 | 1006 | 50% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 993 | 916 | 61% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 954 | 1033 | 39% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2020-07-21 | Lost |
| 988 | 1137 | 30% | 2020-07-16 | Lost |
| 924 | 1187 | 18% | 2020-05-14 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1011 | 55% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 927 | 1038 | 35% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
| 997 | 927 | 60% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2019-12-19 | Won |
| 928 | 927 | 50% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1013 | 85% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
| 902 | 1195 | 16% | 2019-10-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1302 | 16% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 921 | 1037 | 34% | 2019-03-27 | Won |
| 1037 | 1150 | 34% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1195 | 48% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 928 | 50% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1043 | 1033 | 51% | 2018-10-12 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1157 | 42% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1003 | 1020 | 48% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 982 | 1097 | 34% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1097 | 34% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1015 | 62% | 2018-06-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1195 | 28% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1002 | 48% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 983 | 967 | 52% | 2018-02-16 | Won |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
| 987 | 927 | 59% | 2018-01-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 840 | 80% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 878 | 76% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 840 | 1079 | 20% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 2017-10-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 861 | 75% | 2017-10-29 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 1079 | 878 | 76% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 992 | 53% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1073 | 59% | 2017-04-15 | Won |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-04-03 | Won |
| 927 | 1008 | 39% | 2017-02-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 899 | 47% | 2017-02-03 | Won |
| 1050 | 1010 | 56% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1033 | 72% | 2016-07-15 | Tied |
| 836 | 847 | 48% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1095 | 1093 | 50% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
| 1112 | 932 | 74% | 2015-06-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1059 | 43% | 2015-04-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2015-02-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1310 | 15% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-08-20 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1009 | 73% | 2014-07-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 1099 | 55% | 2014-07-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1135 | 30% | 2014-07-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1017 | 53% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 1228 | 1011 | 78% | 2014-05-04 | Won |
| 847 | 1013 | 28% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 1066 | 69% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 942 | 1302 | 11% | 2014-04-23 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1098 | 37% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1098 | 37% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1203 | 25% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1195 | 31% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1178 | 1431 | 19% | 2013-09-15 | Lost |
| 900 | 1164 | 18% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2013-03-15 | Won |
| 940 | 966 | 46% | 2012-12-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1031 | 51% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-08-11 | Won |
| 921 | 1066 | 30% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 1022 | 43% | 2012-01-04 | Won |
| 976 | 918 | 58% | 2011-05-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2010-12-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1033 | 49% | 2010-04-09 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1088 | 59% | 2009-08-20 | Lost |
| 1079 | 697 | 90% | 2009-06-13 | Won |
| 992 | 1033 | 44% | 2008-12-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 882 | 57% | 2008-05-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 958 | 61% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 998 | 1029 | 46% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1072 | 48% | 2006-08-14 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1205 | 28% | 2000-05-22 | Won |
| 1105 | 966 | 69% | Won |
Attacking (68 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1046.9 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).