First Crisis at Army Group North
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1115 | 1145 | 46% | 2022-11-22 | Won |
935 | 974 | 44% | 2022-10-26 | Lost |
935 | 1159 | 22% | 2022-09-09 | Lost |
962 | 944 | 53% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
1014 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2021-05-05 | Won |
970 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
1080 | 919 | 72% | 2020-05-20 | Lost |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2019-03-01 | Lost |
1228 | 1012 | 78% | 2015-04-07 | Won |
1016 | 1081 | 41% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
1085 | 1159 | 40% | 2014-12-29 | Lost |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-07-15 | Lost |
1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1000 | 973 | 54% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
900 | 944 | 44% | 2013-02-13 | Lost |
963 | 1091 | 32% | 2012-05-15 | Lost |
1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2010-04-25 | Won |
1091 | 905 | 74% | 2007-11-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1027 vs 1044.1 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).