The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1040 | 53% | 2026-01-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1070 | 33% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 954 | 951 | 50% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1017 | 51% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1228 | 29% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 937 | 63% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1175 | 35% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1079 | 55% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1118 | 921 | 76% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1070 | 878 | 75% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1135 | 43% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 1083 | 27% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1060 | 43% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1044.2 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).