Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Romanian): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1004 | 929 | 61% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
1158 | 954 | 76% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
1154 | 833 | 86% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
1069 | 1010 | 58% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
1122 | 961 | 72% | 2022-02-05 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
1018 | 1032 | 48% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
964 | 956 | 51% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
1090 | 1043 | 57% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
1283 | 889 | 91% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
979 | 840 | 69% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
1047 | 979 | 60% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
1109 | 934 | 73% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
889 | 887 | 50% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
1109 | 1055 | 58% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
1035 | 1028 | 51% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
1049 | 985 | 59% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
969 | 1094 | 33% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
963 | 1155 | 25% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
1022 | 865 | 71% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
1074 | 1096 | 47% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
1012 | 1078 | 41% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
1037 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
1096 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
969 | 1311 | 12% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
872 | 1075 | 24% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
1288 | 1030 | 82% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1027.1 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).