Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (41 on the archive and 137 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 105
Defender wins (Russian): 73
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2024-01-13 | | Won |
| 1092 | 950 | 69% | 2023-11-04 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2023-04-22 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2022-04-09 | | Won |
| 1152 | 979 | 73% | 2022-02-05 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2021-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-07-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-04-24 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-03-10 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-03-02 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1089 | 55% | 2016-11-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2016-08-03 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2015-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2015-12-28 | | Won |
| 1075 | 935 | 69% | 2015-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1053 | 53% | 2013-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-06-16 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1120 | 35% | 2012-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1137 | 1147 | 49% | 2011-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-10-22 | | Won |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2010-04-13 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2010-03-20 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2009-07-13 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-03-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2008-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-11-20 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1253 | 22% | 2006-10-28 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1192 | 26% | 2006-08-30 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2006-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-06-05 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-05-27 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2006-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2006-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2006-04-09 | | Won |
| 1105 | 1101 | 51% | 2006-04-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2006-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-07 | | Won |
| 944 | 1100 | 29% | 2006-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1039.7 has a 51.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).