Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2024-06-12 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2022-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2021-03-27 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2020-07-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-07-10 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2007-12-11 | | Won |
| 970 | 1233 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | | Tied |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-04-13 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1208 | 26% | 2006-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2006-04-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1003.7 vs 1051.5 has a 43.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).