Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (10 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 895 | 809 | 62% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 948 | 46% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 963 | 1228 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1003.4 vs 1027.1 has a 46.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).