Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (31 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 46
Defender wins (German ): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 938 | 51% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 955 | 938 | 52% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 942 | 938 | 51% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 885 | 907 | 47% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 907 | 994 | 38% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 937 | 1091 | 29% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1218 | 948 | 83% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 972 | 948 | 53% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1183 | 29% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1237 | 1400 | 28% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 907 | 65% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 931 | 1009 | 39% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1108 | 907 | 76% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1029 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).