Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
977 | 1090 | 34% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
926 | 847 | 61% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
1016 | 1037 | 47% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
1062 | 1135 | 40% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
1078 | 922 | 71% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1017.3 vs 1023.5 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).