Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Canadian): 2
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
944 | 933 | 52% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1137 | 939 | 76% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
856 | 1144 | 16% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
981 | 943 | 55% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
1069 | 956 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1002 vs 1006.7 has a 49.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).