The Crux of Calais
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (24 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (British): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 983 | 46% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
959 | 1009 | 43% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
1096 | 1168 | 40% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
1106 | 964 | 69% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
1026 | 1017 | 51% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-10-19 | Lost |
1036 | 1284 | 19% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
1036 | 1042 | 49% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
998 | 997 | 50% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-04-20 | Won |
969 | 998 | 46% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
1327 | 987 | 88% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
983 | 924 | 58% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-10-26 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-08-31 | Lost |
1026 | 1327 | 15% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-12-18 | Won |
1075 | 984 | 63% | 2013-10-26 | Lost |
1089 | 1083 | 51% | 2011-03-07 | Lost |
1149 | 879 | 83% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
979 | 1307 | 13% | 2005-04-10 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1994-12-18 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1060.5 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).