Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (11 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-12-18 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1193 | 809 | 90% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1031 | 53% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1274 | 948 | 87% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1076 | 1064 | 52% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1045 | 938 | 65% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 978.9 has a 61.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).