Rescue Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (8 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Belgian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 983 | 42% | 2023-10-17 | Lost |
1041 | 1012 | 54% | 2021-11-22 | Lost |
1083 | 1026 | 58% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
954 | 1043 | 37% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-10-27 | Lost |
1175 | 1109 | 59% | 2014-09-16 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2007-10-26 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1047.6 has a 44.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).