Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (14 on the archive and 85 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Danish): 73
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
1147 | 1016 | 68% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
1283 | 959 | 87% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
1026 | 1068 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
1035 | 938 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1078 | 987 | 63% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
1063 | 909 | 71% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
1075 | 1075 | 50% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1025.5 has a 55.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).