Hazardous Occupation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Partisan (Muslim)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 957 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 983 | 60% | 2019-07-22 | Won |
| 1102 | 1036 | 59% | 2016-02-16 | Won |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1079 | 70% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-06-21 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1106 | 37% | 2010-10-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 1049 | 52% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1165 | 35% | 2006-12-26 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1175 | 35% | 2001-03-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1060.1 has a 51.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).