Shoestring Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (14 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 30
Defender wins (American): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1026 | 42% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 1030 | 41% | 2015-12-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 930 | 59% | 2015-02-21 | Lost |
| 806 | 1067 | 18% | 2014-12-12 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1073 | 67% | 2014-10-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1130 | 47% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1080 | 47% | 2013-09-14 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1030 | 59% | 2011-06-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1069 | 44% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 971 | 65% | 2006-11-26 | Won |
| 844 | 1064 | 22% | 2003-07-11 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1144 | 39% | 2002-05-20 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 2000-01-16 | Won |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1048.8 has a 47.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).