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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (11 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 1064 | 29% | 2020-03-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-10-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-22 | Lost |
| 858 | 884 | 46% | 2015-02-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1149 | 33% | 2014-06-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1175 | 1037 | 69% | 2000-06-10 | Won |
| 981 | 1159 | 26% | 1996-04-09 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1105 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1059.5 has a 44.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).