The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (10 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (Italian): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 948 | 69% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
1092 | 1109 | 48% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
1127 | 1102 | 54% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
1094 | 985 | 65% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
1056 | 1096 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
991 | 1069 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1078.2 has a 46.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).