The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 885 | 81% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1140 | 43% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1094 | 52% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1022 | 60% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1030 | 1125 | 37% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1110 | 42% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1103 | 1063 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1072.6 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).