Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Italian): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1117 | 1019 | 64% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
1073 | 1048 | 54% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
1059 | 964 | 63% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
1109 | 1081 | 54% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
1211 | 1026 | 74% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
1147 | 1030 | 66% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
919 | 1122 | 24% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
1003 | 1013 | 49% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
985 | 1145 | 28% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
1125 | 1028 | 64% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
1003 | 1013 | 49% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
961 | 1003 | 44% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
1097 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
1097 | 614 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
992 | 935 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
1069 | 870 | 76% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1025.6 has a 54.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).