A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (13 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 66
Defender wins (British): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 917 | 955 | 45% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1181 | 965 | 78% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1126 | 37% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 919 | 977 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 829 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1138 | 977 | 72% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1138 | 37% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1287 | 17% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1029.8 has a 53.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).