The Taking of Takrouna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 5
Defender wins (Italian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1019 | 963 | 58% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1169 | 1132 | 55% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
1011 | 931 | 61% | 2016-11-11 | Lost |
1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2015-07-14 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
1307 | 1145 | 72% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
943 | 1007 | 41% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
1006 | 1047 | 44% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
1037 | 1091 | 42% | 2010-05-01 | Won |
1003 | 919 | 62% | 2008-08-27 | Lost |
1207 | 1030 | 73% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
1069 | 1055 | 52% | 2003-02-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1058 | 61% | 1991-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1026.3 has a 54.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).