Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Belgian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
1016 | 857 | 71% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
964 | 1008 | 44% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
847 | 935 | 38% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
1015 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
952 | 919 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
1091 | 1114 | 47% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
1047 | 1003 | 56% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
989 | 985 | 51% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
1069 | 865 | 76% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1016.4 vs 1010.7 has a 50.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).