Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (18 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 1210 | 1211 | 50% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 934 | 74% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1161 | 1145 | 52% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1129 | 968 | 72% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1083 | 1005 | 61% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1003 | 70% | 2015-06-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | Lost |
| 986 | 948 | 55% | 2012-07-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1113 | 51% | 1995-07-06 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1095.6 vs 1033.7 has a 58.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).