Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1068 | 1055 | 52% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
987 | 913 | 60% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
875 | 1126 | 19% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1150 | 961 | 75% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
1033 | 987 | 57% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1132 | 1050 | 62% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
877 | 1195 | 14% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
877 | 1195 | 14% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
1049 | 1208 | 29% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1112 | 932 | 74% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
831 | 1015 | 26% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1012 | 889 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1048 | 954 | 63% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1080 | 1066 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1169 | 1132 | 55% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1087 | 966 | 67% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1085 | 1023 | 59% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
923 | 963 | 44% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1121 | 1302 | 26% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1118 | 1223 | 35% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
1012 | 1069 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1054.3 has a 47.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).