Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1155 | 30% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1009 | 51% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
876 | 1147 | 17% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1157 | 961 | 76% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
934 | 995 | 41% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1135 | 1097 | 55% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
882 | 1081 | 24% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
950 | 1207 | 19% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
989 | 1030 | 44% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
825 | 1015 | 25% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
1032 | 887 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1014 | 970 | 56% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1090 | 1068 | 53% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1103 | 1135 | 45% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1091 | 963 | 68% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
970 | 963 | 51% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1121 | 1323 | 24% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1057 | 1053 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1009.9 vs 1051 has a 44.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).