Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (25 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (British): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1186 | 34% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 969 | 70% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1005 | 1074 | 40% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1074 | 40% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1100 | 72% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1220 | 51% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
| 755 | 1015 | 18% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 946 | 948 | 50% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1071 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1159 | 1118 | 56% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
| 1052 | 1128 | 39% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
| 1047 | 963 | 62% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1224 | 36% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-11-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 1159 | 44% | 1995-06-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1070 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1043.7 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).