The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
1071 | 1060 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
955 | 964 | 49% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
1017 | 964 | 58% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
1094 | 944 | 70% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
1012 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
985 | 944 | 56% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
952 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1003 | 985 | 53% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
1037 | 1024 | 52% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
831 | 849 | 47% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
862 | 1069 | 23% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
1012 | 954 | 58% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 995.8 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).