The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 4
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 956 | 958 | 50% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 958 | 54% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1109 | 944 | 72% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 890 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 1078 | 35% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 973 | 55% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 863 | 1003 | 31% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 948 | 59% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1186 | 15% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 990.3 vs 1004.1 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).