Among the Ruins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 226 (29 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 117
Defender wins (German): 108
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1009 | 38% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
1180 | 1109 | 60% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
989 | 1115 | 33% | 2017-03-28 | Won |
1046 | 967 | 61% | 2016-09-11 | Won |
991 | 986 | 51% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
1056 | 994 | 59% | 2016-03-11 | Won |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2015-03-22 | Won |
1109 | 1055 | 58% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1027 | 1015 | 52% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
921 | 952 | 46% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
997 | 1204 | 23% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
1095 | 964 | 68% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2011-04-06 | Lost |
1062 | 1044 | 53% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-31 | Won |
1204 | 919 | 84% | 2008-12-16 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
1226 | 1307 | 39% | 2006-02-27 | Tied |
1097 | 979 | 66% | 2005-07-09 | Won |
1142 | 1036 | 65% | 2004-04-03 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2004-03-07 | Lost |
1327 | 967 | 89% | 2003-09-24 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1041 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).