Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (22 on the archive and 150 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 95
Defender wins (American): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
911 | 924 | 48% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
1099 | 987 | 66% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
1020 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1016 | 1026 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
1095 | 1111 | 48% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
1111 | 1095 | 52% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
955 | 1175 | 22% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
1109 | 1175 | 41% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
1175 | 1109 | 59% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
1184 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
1036 | 992 | 56% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
919 | 983 | 41% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
1105 | 973 | 68% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
983 | 925 | 58% | 2004-11-19 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1048.3 has a 47.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).