Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (American): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
880 | 865 | 52% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
1003 | 954 | 57% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-05-04 | Won |
970 | 944 | 54% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
1150 | 1170 | 47% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
1158 | 982 | 73% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
943 | 943 | 50% | 2021-11-25 | Lost |
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2021-01-01 | Won |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
904 | 1063 | 29% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
919 | 845 | 60% | 2020-01-31 | Lost |
1063 | 1020 | 56% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
1158 | 933 | 79% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
947 | 1043 | 37% | 2019-01-17 | Lost |
1000 | 984 | 52% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
1005 | 1032 | 46% | 2018-07-12 | Won |
1030 | 1108 | 39% | 2018-07-08 | Lost |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
948 | 948 | 50% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
972 | 855 | 66% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
943 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2017-01-08 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-12-11 | Lost |
1003 | 919 | 62% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2016-09-20 | Won |
984 | 1026 | 44% | 2016-08-25 | Lost |
964 | 942 | 53% | 2016-06-26 | Won |
1014 | 964 | 57% | 2016-02-06 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2015-07-31 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2015-06-29 | Won |
1035 | 962 | 60% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
1109 | 1137 | 46% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
1090 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2014-06-27 | Lost |
1017 | 999 | 53% | 2014-04-10 | Won |
1029 | 833 | 76% | 2014-03-29 | Lost |
944 | 1094 | 30% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2014-02-06 | Won |
1097 | 984 | 66% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
1109 | 1015 | 63% | 2013-12-12 | Won |
946 | 998 | 43% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
965 | 1109 | 30% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
1171 | 1035 | 69% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
952 | 919 | 55% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
963 | 1079 | 34% | 2012-09-11 | Lost |
1069 | 1088 | 47% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
996 | 1097 | 36% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
1097 | 996 | 64% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
1122 | 919 | 76% | 2012-02-29 | Won |
1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
1055 | 987 | 60% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
1115 | 1138 | 47% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
1074 | 1019 | 58% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
1019 | 851 | 72% | 2010-03-25 | Lost |
970 | 963 | 51% | 2009-11-08 | Lost |
1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2009-06-04 | Lost |
993 | 1307 | 14% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
969 | 1119 | 30% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
913 | 1157 | 20% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
1003 | 919 | 62% | 2007-10-30 | Won |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2007-06-11 | Lost |
1047 | 1003 | 56% | 2007-02-11 | Won |
1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2006-12-29 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-04-11 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-04-15 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2005-01-14 | Won |
968 | 1096 | 32% | 2004-08-07 | Lost |
1131 | 1228 | 36% | 2004-06-01 | Lost |
1003 | 1078 | 39% | 2004-04-16 | Lost |
1027 | 954 | 60% | 2002-06-06 | Lost |
980 | 1075 | 37% | 2002-03-17 | Won |
865 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
1071 | 967 | 65% | 1997-08-01 | Won |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 1991-03-16 | Lost |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1021.2 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).