To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (19 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 70
Defender wins (German): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
965 | 969 | 49% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
1163 | 1058 | 65% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
967 | 1022 | 42% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
969 | 954 | 52% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
1123 | 1107 | 52% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
1093 | 944 | 70% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
1107 | 1125 | 47% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
933 | 892 | 56% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
865 | 1008 | 31% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
960 | 964 | 49% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
614 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
1087 | 1092 | 49% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1010.7 vs 1011.8 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).