To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (19 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 70
Defender wins (German): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
967 | 1022 | 42% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1013 | 955 | 58% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
1197 | 1108 | 63% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
1095 | 1128 | 45% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
977 | 891 | 62% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
961 | 991 | 46% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
1083 | 955 | 68% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1014.1 has a 51.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).