To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (25 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 1008 | 40% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1057 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 974 | 1114 | 31% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 958 | 57% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 1066 | 31% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 928 | 69% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1190 | 1106 | 62% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1192 | 38% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 893 | 1011 | 34% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 865 | 1015 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 957 | 956 | 50% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1264 | 45% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1106 | 31% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1153 | 33% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1176 | 911 | 82% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 1044 | 41% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1048.2 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).