The Fugitives
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 245 (33 on the archive and 212 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 98
Defender wins (Russian): 145
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 983 | 73% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
907 | 907 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
969 | 965 | 51% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
1163 | 923 | 80% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
923 | 1163 | 20% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
1058 | 1023 | 55% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
969 | 1020 | 43% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1015 | 933 | 62% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
892 | 964 | 40% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
962 | 1110 | 30% | 2016-11-16 | Lost |
1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1115 | 863 | 81% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
1110 | 889 | 78% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
1163 | 1110 | 58% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2013-08-14 | Won |
900 | 944 | 44% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
1051 | 951 | 64% | 2012-11-20 | Won |
944 | 1093 | 30% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
969 | 951 | 53% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1065 | 1068 | 50% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
1044 | 933 | 65% | 2008-08-03 | Won |
1074 | 1029 | 56% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-10-12 | Lost |
1028 | 933 | 63% | 2004-12-05 | Won |
1055 | 1135 | 39% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
1048 | 1057 | 49% | 1998-08-01 | Lost |
893 | 1087 | 25% | 1998-05-03 | Lost |
1138 | 1097 | 56% | 1996-08-13 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 1992-04-11 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1011.5 has a 51.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).